In this article, we are picking our top 5 GW4 FPL player picks and why we think they are returning big points.
Hazard (£10.6m) started his first match last weekend against Newcastle and rewarded FPL managers with a fine performance topped with a goal. He now has 16 points after 3 matches, averaging 5.3 points per match. Hazard has also produced some impressive underlying stats so far, with an expected goal per 90 (xG90) of 0.80 and expected assist per 90 (xA90) of 0.48. To give some comparison to his stats, here’s a few other premium midfielders:
Mane (£9.7m): xG90 = 0.66 xA90 = 0.18
Salah (£13.0m): xG90 = 0.89 xA90 = 0.47
Eriksen (£9.4m): xG90 = 0.13 xA90 = 0.18
So in comparison, Hazard fairs well against other premium midfielders, and although at £10.6m we think that the value is still there for the player. Chelsea play Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge this weekend, who themselves have enjoyed a great start to the season with 7 points from 3 games. They have however conceded 3 goals over this period, and we think that Hazard will add to his impressive start to the campaign.
Aguero (£11.3m) seems to have come out of the Guardiola roulette unharmed and it looks like his position is more certain than 2 weeks ago. He has started the season in indifferent form, scoring 2 points in 2 separate matches along with a hat trick against Huddersfield. Aguero’s next fixture against Newcastle has proven a favourable one for the Argentine in the past. In the Premier League, he has scored 11 goals in his last 6 matches against Newcastle, hopefully something of an omen ahead of gameweek 4.
Aguero currently has an xG90 of 0.89, and is the top preforming striker in regards to underlying stats, second being Mitrovic. An out of form Newcastle travelling to the Etihad seems like a recipe for a high scoring game, and with City coming off the back of a draw we fancy Aguero to spearhead the attack.
One of our favourite FPL players has made the GW4 picks after returning to the Arsenal team last weekend. Ramsey (£7.4m) is known for his attacking ability from midfield, last season registering 7 goals and 10 assists. There has been rumours over his contract situation but it seems like any problems have been put to bed and ready to focus on the upcoming fixtures.
Ramsey’s underlying stats suggest that he has continued his goal threat with an expected shots per 90 at 2.68, along with 1.61 key passes leading to shots (per 90mins). We expect these promising stats to turn into goals and assists in the near future for the Welshman, especially if he gets significant game time under his belt. Arsenal travel to Cardiff on Sunday, and although Cardiff have only conceded 2 goals the stats suggest that they are over performing. Their ‘expected goals against’ over the 3 games was 4.20, and against better opposition such as Arsenal, we think they will struggle. And hopefully for our sake, Ramsey can shine and register his first goal or assist of the season.
Adama Traore (£5.5m) was the big money signing for Wolves over the summer and after joining with injury, he is now fully fit to compete for the wide position. Traore has only played 58 minutes for Wolves in the Premier League, but has already caught our eye as a potential budget midfielder in the future. His pace and power is a real asset and on his day can trouble any full back in the league.
In his cameo minutes this season, he has registered an impressive average 4.66 key passes per 90 mins (KP90). We understand that the stats are based over a small sample, however we think that he has the ability and goal threat to return some promising points this gameweek. Wolves play away at West Ham on Saturday, who have lost every game so far in the league. West Ham have conceded a joint worst 9 goals so far, and their underlying stats of 7.39 xGA don’t provide any glimpses of hope in the defence. Wolves on the other hand are posting some great open play attacking stats, and should punish the Hammers this weekend.
Palace’s talisman takes the final spot in our top GW4 picks, and rightly so after his start to the season. Zaha has 2 goals to his name so far which has led to a high ownership of 32.4%, but surprisingly without a price rise. Crystal Palace play Southampton at home this weekend, and look to bounce back from their 2-1 loss to Watford which Zaha scored in.
Zaha’s stats are surprisingly average, with a xG90 of 0.27 and xA90 of 0.04. These however shouldn’t be significant enough to put off FPL managers, as it’s evident that Palace’s gameplan revolves around Zaha. His importance to the team is massive, and he has the ability to score against any opponent. This weeks opposition Southampton have conceded 4 goals already this season and only have 1 point from 3 matches. We expect both Zaha and Palace to put in a good performance this weekend and reward the owners of the Ivorian.