The opening round of double gameweek fixtures are yet to finish, but we have turned our attention to GW33. Our GW32 free hit team is currently on 61 points, with 11 players left to play and the double fixtures. The big worry for the team is the potential rotation for a number of players including Aguero, Sterling, Higuain and Rashford. We are hopeful that they will feature but it is the risks of double gameweeks, rotation is inevitable!
To recap on our strategy, we planned our free transfer up until GW31 in order to field a starting 11 when others chose to play their free hit. The benefit of this move was that the upcoming blank gameweek features very similar teams, therefore we already have a good starting 11.
As mentioned, we played our free hit chip this gameweek to maximise the double GW players which has proved a good decision so far. Our wildcard will be played in GW34, therefore we effectively have a free transfer to use on a one week punt.
Here is the current team without any changes, with 1 free transfer and £0.0m in the bank:
While we are happy with the majority of the players for the week, Anderson looks like the best enabler to sell. With a tricky away fixture against Chelsea and West Ham looking like they are already on the beach, it is as good of a time as ever to get rid of him.
With a sell value of £7.1m, there are a number of players that we have in consideration for GW33. Already relegated Huddersfield seem to be the team to have players against, and this gameweek will be Leicester.
At £7.1m or less, Leicester have a great selection of midfielders that have been producing decent attacking stats. These include Tielemens, Maddison and Barnes who all leave money in the bank.
We have analysed their attacking stats further to get an idea of which is offering the best FPL value:
|Tielemans (£6.1m)||Maddison (£6.8m)||Barnes (£5.5m)|
|Points per Game||4.9||3.8||2.9|
While it is difficult to measure as Maddison as played far more minutes, it is clear that each have attacking potential. We could afford either of the mentioned players, therefore Barnes is out of the equation due to rotation.
Tielemens has been the stand out player over Rodgers’ reign, averaging the highest points per match. The appeal for Maddison is the set piece potential and overall attacking creativity that his underlying stats are suggesting.
We haven’t decided which player we would fancy, but it is clear that both are great options as Anderson replacements. Huddersfield however do not have a horrendous home defensive record, conceding 24 goals in 16 home matches. Meanwhile on the road, Leicester have only scored 21 goals in 16 away matches, suggesting that the game might not be a cricket score that some suggest. With Huddersfield now being relegated, it isn’t clear whether it will have a positive or negative effect on the way they approach games. We recommend not making decisions based on the assumption that Huddersfield will collapse now they are relegated.
Outside of Leicester, the other consideration is Ryan Fraser (£6.2m) who faces Burnley at home. Fraser has scored 6 goals and registered 10 assists this season, Bournemouth’s leading FPL points scorer. Bournemouth have been at their best at home, and so too their goalscoring form averaging 1.75 goals per match. Fraser himself has enjoyed his best form at home, scoring 5 of his 6 league goals at the Vitality Stadium.
Burnley are averaging just under 2 goals conceded per away match, only keeping 3 clean sheets. With the form of both sides, we fancy Bournemouth to get a result and Fraser to have attacking opportunities. At his price range, he is similar to the Leicester City duo, and causing a headache for what direction to go in!
Fabianski is the other player who we are considering selling this upcoming gameweek, with his tough task against Chelsea. However, replacements are not as fruitful as those for Anderson with the best options out of budget. Bournemouth would have been a target if it were not for Begovic getting a surprise return to the team. Boruc looked a nice budget option at £4.1m against Burnley, but unless Howe confirms anything in the press conference we will likely avoid this option.
Other than that, we aren’t too interested in any other goalkeeper, seeing no value in the other teams. Kepa and Alisson are the best options but at their premium price they are not a option. Having looked at the best value, we will likely hold Fabianksi and get some FPL value in the midfield.
Looking at the fixtures, it seems that there are a number of viable captaincy options which could make it a very interesting gameweek. From the players we have available, Hazard, Salah and Vardy feel like the best options and likely popular choices by managers.
However, each have their own problems as captaincy considerations. Hazard is playing in an out of form team, Salah is clearly out of form himself and Vardy is a differential pick that has risk/reward associated with him.
We haven’t decided on a captain, but if we had to pick now we would probably settle on Hazard and hope Chelsea find their mojo and West Ham stay on the beach! Plenty to think about and due to the double gameweek, games still left to play before the deadline so don’t make those early transfers unless you really need to!
We will provide updates on our final GW33 team in a later article and follow our Twitter for more regular updates.
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