In this article we are reflecting on our game week 3 performance, and look ahead to the gameweek 4 preview of the squad.
Gameweek 3 Review
Gameweek 3 points: 61
Overall points: 233
Overall Gameweek rank: 37,544
The great start to the FPL season continues with a great score of 61 points from our wildcard squad. It turned out to be a tough gameweek for managers, so any score above 50 was a bonus. Once again, the defence has proven to be the big point scorers, justifying our decision to structure the team around premium defenders.
The two new purchases Alonso and Monreal repaid the faith with double digit hauls apiece. We brought in Monreal especially for the goal threat he posed from set pieces and it looks like he may continue that this season. Alonso’s predicted price rises were also a factor in wildcarding early, and his rise to £6.7m has now made it hard for non-owners to transfer him in.
The captain roulette landed in our favour with the goal from Mo Salah against Brighton. We were debating over Aguero as our captain, but it turned out to be a good decision after a brilliant Wolves performance.
The major issue of game week 3 was the red card for the value bargain of the season, Richarlison. His mindless head butt has led to minus 2 points and a 2 game suspension, leaving a headache for FPL managers on what to do with the Brazilian.
Gameweek 4 Preview
Here’s the team without any changes for GW4:
So the current plan is to play a back 5 due to the favourable fixtures that each have. As mentioned before, the squad is built around a premium defence, and we have no issues in playing a back 5 when needed. Full backs have proved to be the best value for money so far this season, and we don’t see that trend ending anytime soon.
Our transfer for Ederson didn’t pay dividends last week, but we are expecting a clean sheet for both our City goalkeeper and defender, Mendy. After his one match suspension, Wan Bisakka is expected to return for GW4 against Southampton and will look to bounce back after their weekend loss to Watford.
Pedro supports our midfield 3, and we are looking forward to this gameweek to see whether this is the start of the expected rotation for him. We prepared our squad for rotation and although we believe Sarri likes the Spaniard, it will be hard to ignore Willian over the course of the season.
After wildcarding for GW3, the initial plan was to roll the free transfer and have 2 transfers to negotiate after the international break. However, the Richarlison red card has thrown a spanner in the works and made us look into a possible transfer. Valued currently at £6.6m, there are a number of options that have been considered to replace him: Walcott, Moura and Gray.
Walcott (£6.7m) has already scored 2 goals and 1 assist, and has gone under the radar to many prior to the Brazilian’s red card. Walcott’s ownership has rocketed since and has seen his price rise by +£0.2m, causing a problem for some FPL managers. Thankfully, we have £0.5m in the bank, so can afford the price rises of Walcott for this week. Everton have Huddersfield and West Ham at home in their next 2 fixtures, 2 of the worst defences in the league.
Moura (£7.1m) has only recently become a serious FPL asset after his brace against woeful Man United on Monday night. However, Spurs have another tough fixture in 2 weeks against Liverpool and the return of Lamela and Son could see him being a rotation risk in the team. We aren’t completely sold on the Moura transfer.
Lastly is a differential pick in Leicester’s Demarai Gray. We had considered Gray earlier in the season after the departure of Mahrez, but were not convinced on his finishing over the course of a season. Valued at £5.5m, Gray has played all 3 matches and scored his first goal last weekend against Southampton. At a 1.6% ownership, he is a differential pick but has shown that he can score goals at this level.
We are still undecided on whether we will transfer this gameweek, and if so which player we would pick. The likely candidate would be Walcott solely due to the fixtures that he has in the next 2 gameweeks, however it would be with the idea of bringing back Richarlison. Richarlison has a slightly better expected goals per 90 (0.5) compared to Walcott’s (0.41), and feel that he is a less likely rotation risk. Even with bringing in Walcott, it doesn’t feel like he is necessary in either gameweek due to our already strong starting 11. We feel that we can gain enough points with Richarlison on the bench, accept the price drop and start him for the GW6 without wasting free transfers. Decisions decisions.
In regards to our captain for the week, it seems like a broken record with the same two players jostling for the armband. Of course we are talking about Salah and Aguero. Salah travels away to Leicester while Aguero hosts Newcastle, a team that he historically loves playing against.
We are swaying towards Aguero due to the home fixture, past history and terrible form that Newcastle are currently enduring. Newcastle parked a bus so large that Mourinho would of been proud against Chelsea, and there are fears that they could do similar to City. However, we think that City have all the tools to counter these defensive tactics, and produce a heavy scoreline to bounce back from their draw last week.